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Mathematical Biology Seminar: Ticks can give you more than the creeps - mathematical modeling of tick-borne diseases

What Seminar
When 13 Nov 2008
from 03:30 pm to 04:30 pm
Where MG 1099
Contact Name Jason Miller
Contact Email
Contact Phone 660.785.7430
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Prof. Holly Gaff writes this about her talk: "Recent increases in reported outbreaks of vector-borne diseases throughout the world have led to increased interest in understanding and controlling epidemics involving transmission vectors. Ticks have very unique life histories that create epidemics that differ from other vector-borne diseases. The differential equations underlying our tick-borne disease model are designed for the lone star tick (Amblyomma americanum) and the spread of human monocytic ehrlichiosis (Ehrlichia chaffeensis). Analytical results show that under certain criteria for the parameters, the epidemic would be locally stable. The system was then expanded to multiple patches to evaluate the effect of spatial heterogeneity on the spread of the disease. The use of control measures was added, and it was found that the relative success of disease eradication was dependent upon the patch structure and location of control application. Results from simulations using a twelve patch system are compared with field data from an outbreak of ehrlichiosis in eastern Tennessee, USA. Finally, optimal control techniques are used to evaluate the location and amount of control needed to eliminate the disease from different patch scenarios. There remain many open questions that can be addressed by using this model that we have just begun to explore."

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This material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation's Interdisciplinary Training for Undergraduates in Biology and Mathematics program under Grant No. 0436348, "Research-focused Learning Communities in Mathematical Biology," and Grant No. 0337769, "Mathematical Biology Initiative." Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.