Mathematical Biology Seminar: Ticks can give you more than the creeps - mathematical modeling of tick-borne diseases
| What | Seminar |
|---|---|
| When |
13 Nov 2008 (03:30 PM)
13 Nov 2008 (04:30 PM)
13 Nov 2008 from 03:30 pm to 04:30 pm |
| Where | MG 1099 |
| Contact Name | Jason Miller |
| Contact Email | millerj@truman.edu |
| Contact Phone | 660.785.7430 |
| Add event to calendar |
|
Prof. Holly Gaff writes this about her talk: "Recent increases in reported outbreaks of vector-borne diseases
throughout the world have led to increased interest in understanding
and controlling epidemics involving transmission vectors. Ticks have
very unique life histories that create epidemics that differ from
other vector-borne diseases. The differential equations underlying our
tick-borne disease model are designed for the lone star tick
(Amblyomma americanum) and the spread of human monocytic ehrlichiosis
(Ehrlichia chaffeensis). Analytical results show that under certain
criteria for the parameters, the epidemic would be locally stable. The
system was then expanded to multiple patches to evaluate the effect of
spatial heterogeneity on the spread of the disease. The use of control
measures was added, and it was found that the relative success of
disease eradication was dependent upon the patch structure and
location of control application. Results from simulations using a
twelve patch system are compared with field data from an outbreak of
ehrlichiosis in eastern Tennessee, USA. Finally, optimal control
techniques are used to evaluate the location and amount of control
needed to eliminate the disease from different patch scenarios. There
remain many open questions that can be addressed by using this model
that we have just begun to explore."
